In the battleground state of Wisconsin, a recent Emerson College Polling/The Hill survey reveals that former President Donald Trump holds a 3-point lead over President Joe Biden in a hypothetical matchup for the 2024 presidential election.
According to the poll, Trump garners the support of 45 percent of voters, while Biden receives 42 percent. The remaining 12 percent of respondents remain undecided. It is worth noting that Biden’s support has decreased by 3 points since January, while Trump’s support has increased by 1.
During the 2024 presidential election, Biden emerged victorious in Wisconsin with 51.3 percent of the vote compared to Trump’s 46.9 percent. However, Trump had previously won the state in 2016, securing a narrow victory over former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton with a margin of 47.2 percent to 46.5 percent.
Emerson College Polling Executive Director Spencer Kimball highlights that independent Wisconsin voters lean towards President Biden, with 41 percent support compared to Trump’s 35 percent. Among voters under 30, there is a split, with 39 percent supporting Trump, 37 percent supporting Biden, and 25 percent undecided.
When third-party candidates are included, Trump’s lead grows to 4 points. The former president received 41 percent support, followed by Biden with 37 percent. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. captured 7 percent of the vote, while Cornel West and Jill Stein each received 1 percent. A total of 13 percent of respondents remain undecided.
The economy takes precedence as the top issue for 31 percent of Wisconsin voters, followed by concerns about threats to democracy (13 percent), immigration (11 percent), healthcare (10 percent), education (7 percent), housing affordability (7 percent), crime (7 percent), and abortion access (7 percent).
Kimball points out that voters prioritizing the economy overwhelmingly support Trump over Biden by a margin of 57 percent to 24 percent. Conversely, those prioritizing threats to democracy favor Biden over Trump by a significant margin of 83 percent to 14 percent.
The poll also reveals that 62 percent of voters are concerned about Biden’s age, which is 81 years old. However, 39 percent of respondents do not consider his age a serious factor. On the other hand, 56 percent of voters doubt Trump due to his criminal indictments, while 44 percent do not view his indictments as a significant consideration.
Approval ratings for President Biden in Wisconsin are unfavorable, with only 38 percent of voters approving of his job as president and 53 percent disapproving.
In a hypothetical U.S. Senate election between Republican Eric Hovde and incumbent Democrat Sen. Tammy Baldwin, Baldwin leads with 46 percent support, while Hovde receives 39 percent. The remaining 15 percent of respondents remain undecided.
Kimball highlights that among Trump supporters in the presidential general election, 9 percent plan to split their ticket and vote for Baldwin, while 74 percent support Hovde. Among Biden voters, 90 percent support Baldwin, 4 percent plan to split their ticket and vote for Hovde, and 5 percent remain undecided.
